Hurricane Irma & Jose = Prepare & Plan for the Worst Case Scenario NOW!

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This video is from Septermber 2nd.
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The last 5 GFS model runs have shown Hurricane Irma making East Coast landfall as a Major Hurricane & the last 2 GFS model runs have shown Hurricane/Tropical Storm Jose making landfall in Florida. So don't fear this situation, prepare and plan for it.

With 114 million people on the East Coast, Now is the time to make major plans in case of the worst case scenario.
We've got a week to prepare. So let's work together as one American family and take some extraordinary measures to mitigate loss of life.

God bless everyone

T

GFS Model link
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=mslp_uv850&runtime=2017090218&fh=6

stay cool

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articles on the storms

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/hurricane-irma-track-towards-lesser-antilles

Hurricane Irma on Track Towards the Lesser Antilles

Hurricane Irma remained a powerful hurricane over the waters well east of the northern Lesser Antilles Islands on Saturday morning, and was headed slightly south of due west at 15 mph. Irma is expected to pass close to the northern Lesser Antilles Islands on Tuesday and Wednesday, and is a long-range threat to The Bahamas and U.S. East Coast late in the week.

Irma's peak winds have been fluctuating in intensity between 110 – 120 mph winds (near the boundary of Category 2 and 3 strength) since Friday, due to one or more eyewall replacement cycles (ERCs) that have affected the storm. These cycles are difficult to predict, and will likely continue to affect Irma throughout the coming week. Satellite images on Saturday morning showed a very well-organized storm with little spiral banding and a wide donut-shaped ring of heavy thunderstorms surrounding a large eye. This may mean that Irma is progressing towards becoming an “annular” hurricane; these type of hurricanes are more resistant to wind shear and dry air, and weaken only slowly in adverse conditions. Irma had a respectable upper-level outflow channel to the south, and a weaker one to the north. Conditions were marginal for strengthening, with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) near 26.5°C (80°F), and a dry surrounding atmosphere with a mid-level relative humidity near 50%, according to the 12Z Saturday analysis from the SHIPS model. However, low wind shear of around 5 - 10 knots was quite supportive of development.

Long-range track forecast: The Bahamas and U.S. most at risk
Beyond Wednesday, the uncertainty in Irma’s track expands greatly. Irma will be sandwiched between a strong Atlantic upper-level ridge and an autumn-like upper-level trough that will be progressing across the U.S. next week. The southerly flow between these features is likely to funnel Irma northward at some point late next week, but it’s still too soon to tell exactly where and when that will happen. The outcome may depend on energy now crossing the Pacific Ocean, which will shape the eventual location and timing of the central U.S. trough. The Saturday morning operational and ensemble runs of our two best models for tracking hurricanes, the GFS and European models, portrayed an increasing long-range threat to The Bahamas and U.S. East Coast compared to their runs the previous day (Figures 3, 4, and 5.) However, we cannot rule out a more southward track into Cuba and then into the Gulf of Mexico, or a track that recurves Irma out to sea without affecting any land areas.

The bottom line: Irma could affect the Leeward Islands beginning on Tuesday, and it will need to be watched as a potentially significant threat to the U.S. and The Bahamas in 6 to 12 days.

New tropical depression possible in the central Atlantic
A tropical wave that emerged from the coast of Africa on Thursday was located about 300 miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands on Saturday morning, and was moving west at about 10 - 15 mph. Satellite images on Saturday morning showed the wave
Tags
hurricane, how hurricanes happen

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